Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Port MTI FC
Thailand
League Cup Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit 
Match Events
29'
29'
Lucas Tocantins
Assist: Poeiphimai T.
45'
45'
Chamratsamee P.
46'
46'
Sub
Matsuda R. In: Sareepim S.
Out: Matsuda R.
AI Match Summary
Port MTI FC in this League Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Port MTI FC have won more games recently than Pathum United.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Port MTI FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pathum United, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 16%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Port MTI FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 League Cup
Pathum United vs Port MTI FC
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Pathum United
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Port MTI FC
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Pathum United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Port MTI FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucas Tocantins
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 30 / 100
Port MTI FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Port MTI FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pathum United scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Pathum United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Port MTI FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Port MTI FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Mar
Pathum United
2 : 2 Ratchaburi
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0 Mahasarakham
Page 1 of 4
Port MTI FC
(Away) 24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4 Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0 Pathum United
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4 Port MTI FC
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
08 Apr
Chonburi
3 : 4 Port MTI FC
22 Mar
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 2 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1