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Patriotas vs AA Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Patriotas Logo

Patriotas

2 - 1
FT
AA Iguacu Logo

AA Iguacu

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Batista E.
25' Event
Thawan
87' Event
Lima L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Paranaense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Patriotas
20%
Draws
40%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patriotas lately — more wins on the board than AA Iguacu.
  • Model gives Patriotas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Patriotas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 20%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas AA Iguacu
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs AA Iguacu
2:1
May 19, 2024 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Patriotas
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Patriotas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AA Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Thawan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 42 / 100
AA Iguacu 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AA Iguacu has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS AA Iguacu
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
24 May
Patriotas
0 : 2
Paranavai-PR
16 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Parana
2 : 1
Patriotas
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AA Iguacu

(Away)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)