Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patriotas vs Chico

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Patriotas
15%
Draws
37%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patriotas come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Patriotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Patriotas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%
Chico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Chico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Colombia
Patriotas vs Chico
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Primera A
Patriotas vs Chico
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Patriotas
1:2
Jan 30, 2021 Primera A
Patriotas vs Chico
1:1
Nov 30, 2020 Primera A
Chico vs Patriotas
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 41 / 100
Chico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patriotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Chico let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Chico
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)