Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patriotas vs Inter Palmira

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mosquera J.
16'
Brochero R.
22'
Velez Carey J. J.

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patriotas
39%
Draws
31%
Inter Palmira
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Palmira lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Inter Palmira
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Inter Palmira
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Patriotas
3:1
Aug 26, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Patriotas
1:0
Mar 17, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Inter Palmira
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Patriotas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campana J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 41 / 100
Inter Palmira 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Inter Palmira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Inter Palmira let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Patriotas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Inter Palmira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3
Millonarios
11 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 1
Patriotas
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
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Inter Palmira

(Away)
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
21 Jul
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
15 May
Quindio
0 : 1
Inter Palmira
11 May
Inter Palmira
0 : 0
Envigado
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Ind. Yumbo11002:03
4Envigado11001:03
5Leones11001:03
6Bogota11001:03
7Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
8Orsomarso11001:03
9Quindio10010:10
10Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
11Real Cundinamarca10010:10
12Union Magdalena10010:10
13Barranquilla10010:10
14Inter Palmira10011:30
15Atletico F.C.10010:20
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)