Sport Picks
Patriotas vs Inter Palmira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mosquera J.
16'
16'
Brochero R.
22'
22'
Velez Carey J. J.
AI Match Summary
Patriotas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Palmira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Inter Palmira lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
- Inter Palmira are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Inter Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Inter Palmira
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Patriotas
3:1
Aug 26, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Patriotas
1:0
Mar 17, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Inter Palmira
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Patriotas
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campana J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Inter Palmira Compare
Top Goalscorer Mosquera J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 24 / 100
Inter Palmira 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Inter Palmira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inter Palmira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Patriotas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Inter Palmira let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Patriotas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Inter Palmira
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 11 Oct
Bogota
0 : 0 Patriotas
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Patriotas
2 : 0 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 3
Inter Palmira
(Away) 04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0 Leones
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1 Inter Palmira
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1 Inter Palmira
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
08 Aug
Quindio
1 : 1 Inter Palmira
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Bogota | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
