Sport Picks
Patronato vs Atl. Rafaela Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná 
Match Events
10'
10'
Moreno M.
25'
25'
Meritello F.
29'
29'
Quiroga M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Patronato haven't matched Atl. Rafaela's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Patronato's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patronato | Atl. Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Atl. Rafaela
0:0
Dec 17, 2016 Liga Profesional
Atl. Rafaela vs Patronato
3:0
Apr 30, 2016 Liga Profesional
Patronato vs Atl. Rafaela
2:1
Apr 22, 2016 Liga Profesional
Atl. Rafaela vs Patronato
3:1
Mar 26, 2011 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Patronato
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patronato 77 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patronato Atl. Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Patronato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Atl. Rafaela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Patronato scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Patronato VS Atl. Rafaela
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patronato
(Home) 27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0 San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0 San Martin S.J.
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Rafaela
(Away) 27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
01 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 15 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
