Sport Picks
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná 
Match Events
24'
24'
Bravo F.
25'
25'
Evangelista F.
41'
41'
Sub
Rivero H. In: Barolin J.
Out: Rivero H.
AI Match Summary
Patronato in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patronato.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patronato
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chacarita Juniors have won more games recently than Patronato.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Patronato taking it.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patronato | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato
1:0
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato
1:0
May 12, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Feb 19, 2018 Liga Profesional
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patronato Compare
Top Goalscorer Salas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Chacarita Juniors Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patronato 59 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patronato Chacarita Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chacarita Juniors conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Patronato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Chacarita Juniors's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Patronato VS Chacarita Juniors
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Patronato
(Home) 27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0 San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0 San Martin S.J.
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
Chacarita Juniors
(Away) 26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1 Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1 Chacarita Juniors
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
08 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 15 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
