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Patronato vs Club Atletico Guemes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Juarez J.
34'
Sub
Martinez M. In: Silisque R.
Out: Martinez M.
35'
Ortigoza I.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and Club Atletico Guemes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patronato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Patronato
30%
Draws
0%
Club Atletico Guemes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patronato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Patronato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Patronato are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Club Atletico Guemes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salega G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 95 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato Club Atletico Guemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Club Atletico Guemes registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Patronato stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Club Atletico Guemes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patronato

(Home)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

Club Atletico Guemes

(Away)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)