Sport Picks
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná 
Match Events
21'
21'
Alvarez M.
Assist: Del Priore N.
39'
39'
Del Priore N.
42'
42'
Reynaga R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tristan Suarez
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Patronato haven't matched Tristan Suarez's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Patronato's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patronato | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 15 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
3:0
Feb 17, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patronato Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Tristan Suarez Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patronato 46 / 100
Tristan Suarez 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patronato Tristan Suarez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Patronato stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Patronato scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Tristan Suarez let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Patronato VS Tristan Suarez
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patronato
(Home) 27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0 San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0 San Martin S.J.
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
Tristan Suarez
(Away) 27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1 Tristan Suarez
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0 Tristan Suarez
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
10 Aug
Gimnasia Jujuy
0 : 2 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 36:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 49:31 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 16 | CA Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 32:15 | 57 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 3 | Temperley | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:25 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
