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Pattani vs Chainat Hornbill Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Rainbow Stadium, Pattani
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Wanpraphao C.
66' Event
Jota
69' Event
Carlos Neto

AI Match Summary

Pattani in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pattani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pattani
20%
Draws
40%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chainat Hornbill haven't matched Pattani's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Pattani have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pattani Clean Sheet 15%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pattani Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.51 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Thai League 2
Pattani vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
May 2, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattani
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Thai League 2
Pattani vs Chainat Hornbill
3:2
Dec 3, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattani
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pattani Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanpraphao C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Neto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Jota
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shimizu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pattani 31 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pattani Chainat Hornbill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chainat Hornbill conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Pattani's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pattani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pattani VS Chainat Hornbill
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pattani

(Home)
19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3
Prachuap
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1
Pattani
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Chainat Hornbill

(Away)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)