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Pattaya United vs Nakhon Pathom

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Nongprue Municipality Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
da Silva G.
89' Event
Douglas Tardin
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Pattaya United and Nakhon Pathom finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pattaya United
35%
Draws
32%
Nakhon Pathom
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Nakhon Pathom have managed 0.84 goals a game lately — Pattaya United are scoring more at 1.16.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Pattaya United Clean Sheet 21%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pattaya United Nakhon Pathom
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.16 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Nakhon Pathom
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Pattaya United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pattaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nakhon Pathom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pattaya United 37 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pattaya United Nakhon Pathom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Pathom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakhon Pathom let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pattaya United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pattaya United's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pattaya United VS Nakhon Pathom
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pattaya United

(Home)
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Police Tero
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2
Pattaya United
Page 1 of 7

Nakhon Pathom

(Away)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)