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Patuxent vs Hill City

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Patuxent and Hill City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hill City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Patuxent
17%
Draws
70%
Hill City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hill City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Hill City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Hill City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Patuxent Clean Sheet 10%
Hill City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patuxent Hill City
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 0
Losses 27 7
Goals Scored 0.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 USL League Two
Patuxent vs Hill City
0:1
May 23, 2026 USL League Two
Hill City vs Patuxent
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patuxent 14 / 100
Hill City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patuxent Hill City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Hill City conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Patuxent scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Hill City registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patuxent VS Hill City
0.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%