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Pau vs Bayonne

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pau host Bayonne in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Pau have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Bayonne's 1.5 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Pau have won 3 to Bayonne's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.60 - 1.40) back Bayonne to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pau
20%
Draws
60%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayonne come out ahead of Pau on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pau Clean Sheet 17%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Bayonne
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.74 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Pau vs Bayonne
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Coupe de France
Bayonne vs Pau
1:3
Jun 4, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Pau vs Bayonne
2:2
Aug 15, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Bayonne vs Pau
0:1
Jan 26, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Bayonne vs Pau
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 31 / 100
Bayonne 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pau scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Bayonne conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Bayonne
0.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
50% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
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Bayonne

(Away)
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
21 Aug
Granville
1 : 3
Bayonne
16 May
Bayonne
3 : 2
Saumur Olympique
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