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Paulesti vs Progresul Draganesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Draganesti in this Liga 3 - Seria 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Draganesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Paulesti
35%
Draws
52%
Progresul Draganesti
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Progresul Draganesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Paulesti have won more games recently than Progresul Draganesti.
  • Progresul Draganesti are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paulesti Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Draganesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulesti Progresul Draganesti
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.34 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Paulesti vs Progresul Draganesti
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulesti 22 / 100
Progresul Draganesti 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulesti Progresul Draganesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Draganesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Draganesti let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Paulesti scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Paulesti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paulesti VS Progresul Draganesti
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulesti

(Home)
09 Oct
Blejoi
1 : 0
Paulesti
03 Oct
Paulesti
2 : 3
Progresul Draganesti
25 Sept
Viitorul Corbeanca
1 : 1
Paulesti
22 Sept
Paulesti
0 : 2
Tunari
18 Sept
Flacara Moreni
1 : 1
Paulesti
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Progresul Draganesti

(Away)
09 Oct
Progresul Draganesti
2 : 2
Tunari
03 Oct
Paulesti
2 : 3
Progresul Draganesti
26 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
2 : 2
Urban Titu
22 Sept
Petrolul Berca
3 : 0
Progresul Draganesti
19 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
4 : 2
CSO Plopeni
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 8 7 1 0 27:7 22
2 Tunari 8 5 2 1 16:11 17
3 Blejoi 8 4 2 2 17:9 14
4 Petrolul Berca 8 4 1 3 20:18 13
5 Progresul Draganesti 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
6 AS Vointa Crevedia 8 3 1 4 18:16 10
7 CSO Plopeni 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
8 FC Pucioasa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
9 Urban Titu 8 2 3 3 10:15 9
10 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 8 2 2 4 9:19 8
11 Viitorul Corbeanca 8 1 3 4 4:10 6
12 Paulesti 8 0 2 6 4:15 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 (Relegation Group)