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Paulinense U20 vs Novorizontino U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Paulinense U20 Logo

Paulinense U20

1 - 4
FT
Novorizontino U20 Logo

Novorizontino U20

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Murilo
45' Event
Geres M.
66' Event
Reis N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Paulinense U20
15%
Draws
59%
Novorizontino U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novorizontino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novorizontino U20 lately — more wins on the board than Paulinense U20.
  • Win probability leans Novorizontino U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paulinense U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Novorizontino U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulinense U20 Novorizontino U20
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Paulinense U20 vs Novorizontino U20
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paulinense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas C. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Novorizontino U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geres M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulinense U20 10 / 100
Novorizontino U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulinense U20 Novorizontino U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novorizontino U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Paulinense U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Novorizontino U20 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Paulinense U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paulinense U20 VS Novorizontino U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulinense U20

(Home)
21 Sept
Paulinense U20
2 : 2
Ibrachina U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
20 Aug
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
Paulinense U20
14 Aug
CA Bandeirante U20
2 : 1
Paulinense U20
11 Aug
Paulinense U20
2 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
Page 1 of 3

Novorizontino U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
22 Aug
Novorizontino U20
2 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
14 Aug
Botafogo SP U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)