Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Vinicius Caveira
(Penalty)
25'
25'
Alisson
45'
45'
Fred Junior
AI Match Summary
Guarulhos in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarulhos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paulinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guarulhos lately — more wins on the board than Paulinense.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Paulinense Clean Sheet 11%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paulinense | Guarulhos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Paulinense
1:2
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinense vs Guarulhos
1:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paulinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Fred Junior
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Guarulhos Compare
Top Goalscorer Moraes R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Martins G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paulinense 30 / 100
Guarulhos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paulinense Guarulhos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Paulinense scored in 64% of their last 14 outings.
Defensive concern: Guarulhos conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Paulinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Paulinense VS Guarulhos
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Paulinense
(Home) 19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
Page 1 of 3
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0 Audax-SP
07 Jun
Paulinense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
24 May
Paulinense
1 : 0 Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 2
Guarulhos
(Away) 20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2 Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2 Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2 Guarulhos
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2 Guarulhos
17 May
Paulinense
1 : 7 Guarulhos
03 May
Paulinia FU
3 : 0 Guarulhos
25 Apr
Flamengo SP
2 : 0 Guarulhos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
