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Paulinia FU vs Itaqua Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
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Match Events

35' Event
Caue Raphael
(Penalty)
45' Event
Salomao
(Penalty)
51' Event
Salomao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Paulinia FU
15%
Draws
65%
Itaqua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Itaqua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itaqua lately — more wins on the board than Paulinia FU.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Itaqua taking it.
  • Itaqua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Itaqua, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Paulinia FU Clean Sheet 10%
Itaqua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulinia FU Itaqua
Matches Played 12 16
Wins 3 12
Draws 1 2
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
Itaqua vs Paulinia FU
3:0
Jun 28, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinia FU vs Itaqua
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paulinia FU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Itaqua Compare

Top Goalscorer Salomao
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Anjos Souza A. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulinia FU 10 / 100
Itaqua 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulinia FU Itaqua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itaqua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Paulinia FU scored in 50% of their last 12 games.

Itaqua has conceded goals in 56% of their last 16 outings.

Recent resilience: Paulinia FU stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paulinia FU VS Itaqua
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulinia FU

(Home)
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0
Paulinia FU
28 Jun
Paulinia FU
1 : 3
Itaqua
20 Jun
Paulinia FU
3 : 1
Votoraty SP
13 Jun
Flamengo SP
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 3

Itaqua

(Away)
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Itaqua
3 : 0
Paulinia FU
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3