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Paulista vs Juventus-SP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Luis Gustavo
72'
Lucas Lopes
72'
Lucas Lopes

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Paulista
30%
Draws
29%
Juventus-SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Juventus-SP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Juventus-SP a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Juventus-SP arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paulista, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Paulista Clean Sheet 23%
Juventus-SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulista Juventus-SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Copa Paulista
Paulista vs Juventus-SP
1:0
Jul 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Paulista
3:1
Mar 17, 2016 Paulista A2
Paulista vs Juventus-SP
1:0
Mar 12, 2008 Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Paulista
2:1
Apr 7, 2007 Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Paulista
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paulista Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Gustavo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Juventus-SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulista 21 / 100
Juventus-SP 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulista Juventus-SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus-SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulista's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Juventus-SP let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Paulista went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paulista VS Juventus-SP
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulista

(Home)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

Juventus-SP

(Away)
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
22 Aug
Juventus-SP
5 : 0
Osasco Sporting
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Juventus-SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)