Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Ozana C. H.
68'
68'
Matheus Arcanjo
90'
90'
Hebert
AI Match Summary
Paulista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portuguesa Santista lately — more wins on the board than Paulista.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Paulista here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Paulista Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paulista | Portuguesa Santista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:0
Mar 25, 2017 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Feb 1, 2006 Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paulista Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozana C. H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Arcanjo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Portuguesa Santista Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paulista 41 / 100
Portuguesa Santista 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paulista Portuguesa Santista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Paulista stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Paulista scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Portuguesa Santista let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Paulista VS Portuguesa Santista
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Paulista
(Home) 18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3 Paulista
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Primavera EC
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
04 Mar
Paulista
0 : 0 Bandeirante
01 Mar
Paulista
2 : 2 Francana
Page 1 of 3
Portuguesa Santista
(Away) 26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1 Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
15 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
0 : 3 Portuguesa Santista
04 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)