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Paulista vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ozana C. H.
73' Event
Jefinho
(Penalty)
82' Event
Matheus Arcanjo

AI Match Summary

Paulista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paulista
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Sao Joao lately — more wins on the board than Paulista.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paulista taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Paulista have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Paulista Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulista Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:0
Jun 19, 2022 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Paulista
0:4
May 14, 2022 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:0
Feb 4, 2005 Paulista
Paulista vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:0
Feb 20, 2004 Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Paulista
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paulista Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozana C. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Arcanjo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulista 95 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulista Uniao Sao Joao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Sao Joao conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paulista stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Paulista's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paulista VS Uniao Sao Joao
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulista

(Home)
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3
Paulista
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
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Uniao Sao Joao

(Away)
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2
EC Sao Bernardo
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Francana
07 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 2
Uniao Sao Joao
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)