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Pavia vs Pizzighettone

Italy Italy

Serie C2/A 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/A 2007/2008 game between Pavia and Pizzighettone finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pavia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pavia
20%
Draws
30%
Pizzighettone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pavia come out ahead of Pizzighettone on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pavia Clean Sheet 20%
Pizzighettone Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavia Pizzighettone
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Pizzighettone vs Pavia
0:1
Sep 7, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Pavia vs Pizzighettone
1:1
Mar 2, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Pavia vs Pizzighettone
4:3
Oct 21, 2007 Lega Pro C2/A
Pizzighettone vs Pavia
1:2
Apr 22, 2007 Lega Pro C1/A
Pizzighettone vs Pavia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavia 32 / 100
Pizzighettone 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavia Pizzighettone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pavia's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pizzighettone has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Pavia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pavia VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavia

(Home)
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
Page 1 of 6

Pizzighettone

(Away)
17 May
Rodengo Saiano
1 : 0
Pizzighettone
10 May
Pizzighettone
0 : 3
Mezzocorona
03 May
Alghero
1 : 0
Pizzighettone
26 Apr
Pizzighettone
1 : 3
Alessandria
19 Apr
Olbia
1 : 2
Pizzighettone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpenedolo 34 16 9 9 49:39 57
2 Pergocrema 34 14 15 5 38:22 57
3 Lumezzane 34 15 7 12 48:46 52
4 Rodengo Saiano 34 13 13 8 42:31 52
5 Mezzocorona 34 14 9 11 36:31 51
6 Sassari Torres 34 13 11 10 42:34 50
7 Canavese 34 12 12 10 38:39 48
8 Olbia 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
9 Pro Vercelli 34 12 11 11 43:43 47
10 Ivrea 34 11 13 10 48:44 46
11 Nuorese 34 11 12 11 40:40 45
12 Sudtirol 34 10 14 10 34:33 44
13 Varese 34 10 14 10 36:33 44
14 Cuneo 34 10 12 12 42:43 42
15 Pavia 34 10 12 12 40:49 42
16 Caravaggio 34 7 13 14 30:39 34
17 Valenzana 34 8 9 17 28:44 33
18 Pizzighettone 34 6 8 20 36:56 26
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)