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Pavlikeni vs FC Lovech

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pavlikeni host FC Lovech in the Third League - North-West. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. FC Lovech have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Pavlikeni have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Pavlikeni slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 0.94, favoring Pavlikeni. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pavlikeni
6%
Draws
4%
FC Lovech
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pavlikeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pavlikeni have won more games recently than FC Lovech.
  • Pavlikeni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.4%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 20%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavlikeni FC Lovech
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs FC Lovech
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Pavlikeni
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavlikeni 85 / 100
FC Lovech 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavlikeni FC Lovech

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lovech lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pavlikeni scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

FC Lovech's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pavlikeni VS FC Lovech
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318