Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paykan vs Mes Rafsanjan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jabireh R.
Assist: Komar N.
6'
Amiri F.
31'
Sub
Gerami F. In: Ali Faramarzi M.
Out: Gerami F.

AI Match Summary

Mes Rafsanjan in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mes Rafsanjan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paykan
40%
Draws
29%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Paykan have won more games recently than Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mes Rafsanjan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Paykan Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paykan Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Paykan
2:0
Apr 25, 2024 Hazfi Cup
Mes Rafsanjan vs Paykan
2:1
Apr 12, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Paykan
2:2
Oct 28, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paykan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabireh R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nariman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paykan 42 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paykan Mes Rafsanjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Rafsanjan has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Paykan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Mes Rafsanjan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paykan VS Mes Rafsanjan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paykan

(Home)
27 Feb
Paykan
0 : 0
Sepahan
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Paykan
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
08 Feb
Chadormalu
2 : 0
Paykan
01 Feb
Paykan
1 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

Mes Rafsanjan

(Away)
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
07 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)