Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paysandu Bella Vista vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Primera Division 2002
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paysandu Bella Vista play Fenix in the Primera Division 2002. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paysandu Bella Vista averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Fenix averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Paysandu Bella Vista won 0, Fenix won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2002 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Paysandu Bella Vista and 1.49 for Fenix. This points to a Fenix double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Paysandu Bella Vista
22%
Draws
52%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Paysandu Bella Vista picked up more points recently compared to Fenix.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Paysandu Bella Vista Clean Sheet 16%
Fenix Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu Bella Vista Fenix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2002 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Paysandu Bella Vista vs Fenix
2:5
Apr 14, 2001 Liguilla
Paysandu Bella Vista vs Fenix
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu Bella Vista 27 / 100
Fenix 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu Bella Vista Fenix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fenix or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paysandu Bella Vista attacking → ← attacking Fenix

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu Bella Vista scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Fenix let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Paysandu Bella Vista went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fenix lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38