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Paysandu Bella Vista vs Penarol

Uruguay Uruguay

Primera Division 2002
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penarol in this Primera Division 2002 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penarol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paysandu Bella Vista
6%
Draws
90%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Penarol lately — more wins on the board than Paysandu Bella Vista.
  • Win probability leans Penarol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2002 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Paysandu Bella Vista Clean Sheet 20%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu Bella Vista Penarol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2002 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Paysandu Bella Vista vs Penarol
1:2
Feb 15, 2001 Liguilla
Paysandu Bella Vista vs Penarol
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu Bella Vista 10 / 100
Penarol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu Bella Vista Penarol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Paysandu Bella Vista scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Paysandu Bella Vista remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penarol
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%