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Paysandu PA U20 vs Mazagao U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paysandu PA U20 play Mazagao U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20. Paysandu PA U20 are favorites here. Recently, Paysandu PA U20 averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Mazagao U20 averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Paysandu PA U20 won 1, Mazagao U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 22, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.56 for Paysandu PA U20 and 0.75 for Mazagao U20. This points to a Paysandu PA U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Paysandu PA U20
15%
Draws
25%
Mazagao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paysandu PA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Paysandu PA U20 picked up more points recently compared to Mazagao U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.56 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Paysandu PA U20 Clean Sheet 27%
Mazagao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA U20 Mazagao U20
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 17 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.37 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Paysandu PA U20 vs Mazagao U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaua Hinkel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caua Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Mazagao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA U20 59 / 100
Mazagao U20 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA U20 Mazagao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paysandu PA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Paysandu PA U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paysandu PA U20 attacking → ← attacking Mazagao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA U20 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Mazagao U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Paysandu PA U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mazagao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 3
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00