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Paysandu PA vs Brusque Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Olimpico do Para (Mangueirao), Belem
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Caio Mello
13' Event
Joao Pedro
34' Event
Marlyson

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Paysandu PA and Brusque finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Paysandu PA
35%
Draws
56%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Brusque haven't matched Paysandu PA's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Brusque taking it.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 15%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA Brusque
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
1:1
Nov 12, 2024 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
1:0
Jul 25, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Jul 1, 2023 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Brusque
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marlyson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA 27 / 100
Brusque 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Paysandu PA scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Paysandu PA has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA VS Brusque
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu PA

(Home)
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1
Maringa FC
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Brusque

(Away)
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 4 1 3 0 9:7 6
3 Brusque 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
4 Paysandu PA 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Maringa FC 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
3 Floresta EC 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
4 Botafogo PB 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)