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Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu), Belem
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Caio Mello
44'
Bruno Bispo
45'
Pedro Henrique

AI Match Summary

Paysandu PA in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paysandu PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paysandu PA
30%
Draws
47%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paysandu PA lately — more wins on the board than Ferroviaria.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 13%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria
1:0
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
4:0
Oct 20, 2025 Serie B
Ferroviaria vs Paysandu PA
2:2
Jun 30, 2025 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Ferroviaria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Mello
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ferroviaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA 31 / 100
Ferroviaria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Paysandu PA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA VS Ferroviaria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu PA

(Home)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria

(Away)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maringa FC 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
3 Floresta EC 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Botafogo PB 6 1 2 3 2:5 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)