Sport Picks
Paysandu PA vs Independencia Futebol Clube
Brazil
Copa Norte Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu) 
AI Match Summary
Paysandu PA play Independencia Futebol Clube in the Copa Norte. Paysandu PA are favorites here. Recently, Paysandu PA averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Independencia Futebol Clube averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Paysandu PA won 1, Independencia Futebol Clube won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.51 for Paysandu PA and 1.60 for Independencia Futebol Clube. This points to a Paysandu PA double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Paysandu PA picked up more points recently compared to Independencia Futebol Clube.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.51 vs 1.60 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paysandu PA | Independencia Futebol Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.14 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paysandu PA Compare
Independencia Futebol Clube Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Independencia Futebol Clube let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Paysandu PA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Independencia Futebol Clube lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |