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Pazinka vs Krk

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Pazinka and Krk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pazinka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pazinka
20%
Draws
10%
Krk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pazinka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pazinka come out ahead of Krk on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 20%
Krk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazinka Krk
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.23 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Krk
3:0
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Pazinka
0:1
Apr 17, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Pazinka
4:1
Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Krk
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazinka 36 / 100
Krk 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazinka Krk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pazinka scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Pazinka has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pazinka VS Krk
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazinka

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
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Krk

(Away)
01 Jun
Krk
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
25 May
Trnje
2 : 1
Krk
18 May
Krk
0 : 1
Mladost Zdralovi
11 May
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 1
Krk
04 May
Krk
2 : 2
Dragovoljac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)