Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pazinka vs Naprijed Hreljin

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pazinka in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pazinka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pazinka
15%
Draws
26%
Naprijed Hreljin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pazinka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pazinka lately — more wins on the board than Naprijed Hreljin.
  • Model gives Pazinka a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 17%
Naprijed Hreljin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pazinka Naprijed Hreljin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Pazinka
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Naprijed Hreljin
3:1
May 8, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Naprijed Hreljin
0:2
Nov 24, 2020 3. HNL West
Naprijed Hreljin vs Pazinka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazinka 84 / 100
Naprijed Hreljin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pazinka Naprijed Hreljin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pazinka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naprijed Hreljin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pazinka scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pazinka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pazinka VS Naprijed Hreljin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pazinka

(Home)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
Page 1 of 6

Naprijed Hreljin

(Away)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Naprijed Hreljin
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Naprijed Hreljin
2 : 1
Vinodol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)