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PDHA vs Derthona FbC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Grieco G.
69' Event
Marcaletti E.

AI Match Summary

PDHA in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PDHA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PDHA
20%
Draws
80%
Derthona FbC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derthona FbC lately — more wins on the board than PDHA.
  • Win probability leans Derthona FbC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
PDHA Clean Sheet 26%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PDHA Derthona FbC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Derthona FbC
2:0
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs PDHA
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Derthona FbC
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs PDHA
0:2
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs PDHA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PDHA Compare

Top Goalscorer Grieco G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcaletti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Derthona FbC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PDHA 10 / 100
Derthona FbC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PDHA Derthona FbC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derthona FbC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: PDHA scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Derthona FbC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derthona FbC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PDHA

(Home)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
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Derthona FbC

(Away)
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)