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PDHA vs Lavagnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Cericola M.
64' Event
Lionetti G.
90'
Ghigliotti D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between PDHA and Lavagnese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PDHA
15%
Draws
85%
Lavagnese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lavagnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lavagnese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
PDHA Clean Sheet 24%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PDHA Lavagnese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Lavagnese
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs PDHA
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs PDHA
1:3
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Lavagnese
0:0
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs PDHA
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PDHA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cericola M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lionetti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PDHA 37 / 100
Lavagnese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PDHA Lavagnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lavagnese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lavagnese conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lavagnese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: PDHA scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lavagnese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PDHA

(Home)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
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Lavagnese

(Away)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)