Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Benacquista L.
73'
73'
Sassi A.
83'
83'
Ortelli M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between PDHA and Varese FC finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
30%
70%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varese FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Varese FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Varese FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
PDHA Clean Sheet 20%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PDHA | Varese FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 21 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Varese FC
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs PDHA
2:1
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Varese FC
1:2
Mar 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs PDHA
1:2
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Varese FC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PDHA Compare
Top Goalscorer Sassi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mendez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Varese FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Benacquista L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PDHA 10 / 100
Varese FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PDHA Varese FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varese FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Varese FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
PDHA scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Varese FC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Varese FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PDHA
(Home) 05 May
PDHA
1 : 3 Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2 PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2 Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0 PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2 Ligorna
Page 1 of 6
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3 Sanremese
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2 Alba
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2 Ligorna
24 Mar
PDHA
2 : 2 Varese FC
10 Mar
PDHA
1 : 2 Albenga
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Varese FC
(Away) 27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2 Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1 Varese FC
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20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1 Varese FC
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0 Varese FC
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Chisola | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 64:37 | 72 |
| 3 | Varese FC | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49:33 | 66 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 5 | NovaRomentin | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 58:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Bra | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 47:30 | 65 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 44:37 | 63 |
| 8 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 42:33 | 59 |
| 9 | Albenga | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 51:33 | 58 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:33 | 52 |
| 11 | Fezzanese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 51 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 35:38 | 45 |
| 13 | Lavagnese | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 46:47 | 44 |
| 14 | Vogherese | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:57 | 42 |
| 15 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 34:52 | 41 |
| 16 | AC Chieri | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 39:52 | 39 |
| 17 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 25:44 | 37 |
| 18 | Alba | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 39:63 | 37 |
| 19 | PDHA | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:63 | 22 |
| 20 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:67 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
