Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PEC Zwolle W vs Heerenveen W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Ceintuurbaan, Zwolle
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Altena A.
Assist: Appelmann I.
60'
Sub
Iedema L. In: van Vugt S.
Out: Iedema L.
63'
Sub
Vermeer B. In: de Haas R.
Out: Vermeer B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
PEC Zwolle W
39%
Draws
31%
Heerenveen W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • PEC Zwolle W have won more games recently than Heerenveen W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
PEC Zwolle W Clean Sheet 13%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PEC Zwolle W Heerenveen W
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 12 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Heerenveen W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs PEC Zwolle W
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs PEC Zwolle W
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
Heerenveen W vs PEC Zwolle W
2:1
Dec 21, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Heerenveen W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PEC Zwolle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roosjen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Altena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PEC Zwolle W 30 / 100
Heerenveen W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PEC Zwolle W Heerenveen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heerenveen W let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

PEC Zwolle W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Heerenveen W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

PEC Zwolle W VS Heerenveen W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PEC Zwolle W

(Home)
28 Jul
Genk W
0 : 5
PEC Zwolle W
25 Jul
PEC Zwolle W
0 : 4
Werder Bremen W
22 May
Den Haag W
3 : 0
PEC Zwolle W
08 May
PEC Zwolle W
3 : 2
Hera United W
03 May
Twente W
3 : 2
PEC Zwolle W
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Heerenveen W

(Away)
22 May
Heerenveen W
1 : 3
Ajax W
08 May
Utrecht W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
03 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 5
Heerenveen W
26 Apr
Heerenveen W
0 : 1
PSV W
05 Apr
Hera United W
2 : 1
Heerenveen W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2026/2027 (Qualification)