Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pedras Rubras vs Penalva do Castelo

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pedras Rubras in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pedras Rubras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pedras Rubras
15%
Draws
85%
Penalva do Castelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penalva do Castelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Penalva do Castelo haven't matched Pedras Rubras's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pedras Rubras's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Pedras Rubras Clean Sheet 68%
Penalva do Castelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedras Rubras Penalva do Castelo
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.15 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Pedras Rubras vs Penalva do Castelo
4:0
Aug 19, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Penalva do Castelo vs Pedras Rubras
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedras Rubras 68 / 100
Penalva do Castelo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedras Rubras Penalva do Castelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pedras Rubras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penalva do Castelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pedras Rubras scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Penalva do Castelo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pedras Rubras VS Penalva do Castelo
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pedras Rubras

(Home)
11 Apr
Pedras Rubras
0 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Apr
SC Salgueiros
3 : 1
Pedras Rubras
14 Mar
Pedras Rubras
0 : 1
Maritimo B
07 Mar
Coimbroes
2 : 0
Pedras Rubras
28 Feb
Pedras Rubras
1 : 3
Gondomar
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Penalva do Castelo

(Away)
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
12 May
Leca
2 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
05 May
Penalva do Castelo
0 : 2
Coimbroes
28 Apr
Penalva do Castelo
0 : 0
Paredes
20 Apr
Cinfaes
2 : 1
Penalva do Castelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)