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Pedreira vs ESMAC

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Pedreira Logo

Pedreira

3 - 1
FT
ESMAC Logo

ESMAC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pedreira in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pedreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pedreira
30%
Draws
23%
ESMAC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pedreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pedreira lately — more wins on the board than ESMAC.
  • Pedreira are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 20%
ESMAC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pedreira ESMAC
Matches Played 11 11
Wins 7 2
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2.27 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pedreira 42 / 100
ESMAC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pedreira ESMAC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pedreira's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

ESMAC has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Recent resilience: Pedreira stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: ESMAC registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pedreira VS ESMAC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pedreira

(Home)
11 Sept
Venus
0 : 1
Pedreira
20 Oct
Paraense SC
6 : 0
Pedreira
15 Oct
Pedreira
2 : 3
Belenense
04 Oct
Pedreira
4 : 0
Paraense SC
01 Oct
Belenense
1 : 0
Pedreira
Page 1 of 3

ESMAC

(Away)
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
23 Jun
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
ESMAC
19 Jun
ESMAC
1 : 2
Amazonia IFC
11 Jun
ESMAC
0 : 2
Uniao Paraense
07 Jun
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
ESMAC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 ESMAC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Venus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraense SC 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Pinheirense 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Tesla 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 2 1 0 1 9:5 3
2 Sport Belem 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 CA Vila Rica 1 0 0 1 0:8 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Parauapebas 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Altamira 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)