Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2020/2021 Yuen Long Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wong Chun-Ho
45'
Sub
Law Chun-Ting In: Tse Long-Hin
Out: Law Chun-Ting
48' Event
Gil Martins

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Pegasus and Lee Man Warriors finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Pegasus
15%
Draws
53%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lee Man Warriors come out ahead of Pegasus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 19%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pegasus Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 23 35
Wins 11 24
Draws 2 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.35 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:5
Apr 11, 2021 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
1:3
Mar 28, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Sapling Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pegasus Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun Ming-Him
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Martins
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wong Chun-Ho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pegasus 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pegasus Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Pegasus scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: Pegasus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lee Man Warriors
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pegasus

(Home)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 17 11 4 2 32:12 37
2 Eastern AA 17 10 4 3 38:16 34
3 Lee Man Warriors 17 9 3 5 34:21 30
4 Pegasus 17 9 1 7 23:27 28
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)