Sport Picks
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors Prediction & H2H Stats
Hong Kong
Sapling Cup 2019/2020 
AI Match Summary
Lee Man Warriors in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lee Man Warriors lately — more wins on the board than Pegasus.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Lee Man Warriors taking it.
- Lee Man Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lee Man Warriors, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 19%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pegasus | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 39 |
| Wins | 11 | 26 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 2.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:5
Apr 11, 2021 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
1:3
Mar 28, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 FA Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Sapling Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Pegasus
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pegasus 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pegasus Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Pegasus's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Lee Man Warriors let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.
Pegasus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lee Man Warriors
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pegasus
(Home) 23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5 Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1 Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0 Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2 Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3 Pegasus
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23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5 Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1 Kitchee
24 Apr
Pegasus
0 : 1 Eastern AA
18 Apr
Pegasus
3 : 2 Resources Capital
28 Mar
Pegasus
1 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
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Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1 Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Kowloon City
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19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Eastern AA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Pegasus | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Lee Man Warriors | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 7 |
| 5 | Hong Kong Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:27 | 4 |
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern District | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Yuen Long | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 12 |
| 4 | Happy Valley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | 8 |
| 5 | Tai Po | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18:25 | 6 |
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
