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PeKa vs Lahden Reipas Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Kostian J.
39'
Forss L.
45' Event
Villgren T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

PeKa in this Kakkonen Group A 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PeKa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
PeKa
15%
Draws
59%
Lahden Reipas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lahden Reipas have won more games recently than PeKa.
  • Model gives Lahden Reipas a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
PeKa Clean Sheet 15%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PeKa Lahden Reipas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.3 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2022 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs PeKa
5:0
May 29, 2022 Kakkonen Group A
PeKa vs Lahden Reipas
1:0
Sep 25, 2021 Kakkonen Group A
PeKa vs Lahden Reipas
1:0
Jul 17, 2021 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs PeKa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PeKa 10 / 100
Lahden Reipas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PeKa Lahden Reipas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahden Reipas has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

PeKa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

PeKa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lahden Reipas
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PeKa

(Home)
01 Oct
Atlantis
4 : 1
PeKa
24 Sept
PeKa
2 : 3
Jippo
18 Sept
PeKa
3 : 2
KaPa
11 Sept
KuPS Akatemia
4 : 0
PeKa
05 Sept
PeKa
1 : 5
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
Page 1 of 6

Lahden Reipas

(Away)
03 Oct
Lahden Reipas
4 : 0
Union Plaani
26 Sept
Lahden Reipas
7 : 1
MyPa
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
Lahden Reipas
0 : 0
PuiU Helsinki
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jippo 22 15 4 3 47:16 49
2 KaPa 22 15 3 4 58:29 48
3 Lahden Reipas 22 15 2 5 59:22 47
4 Kiffen 22 10 8 4 42:20 38
5 Atlantis 22 11 3 8 38:35 36
6 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 6 7 47:45 33
7 NJS 22 8 3 11 35:41 27
8 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 22 7 4 11 54:42 25
9 KuPS Akatemia 22 5 7 10 30:36 22
10 FC Futura 22 6 4 12 30:49 22
11 PeKa 22 5 4 13 27:58 19
12 LaPa 22 1 2 19 15:89 5
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2022 (Winners stage)