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Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelhrimov host Sparta Brno in the 4. liga - Group D. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Pelhrimov at 1.97 goals for, 1.86 against; Sparta Brno at 1.79 for, 2.07 against. Head-to-head, Pelhrimov have won 3 to Sparta Brno's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.38 - 1.31) back Pelhrimov to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pelhrimov
15%
Draws
49%
Sparta Brno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Brno come out ahead of Pelhrimov on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pelhrimov taking it.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Pelhrimov Clean Sheet 18%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelhrimov Sparta Brno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Pelhrimov
3:4
Apr 22, 2012 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno
1:0
Sep 10, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Apr 3, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sparta Brno
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelhrimov 67 / 100
Sparta Brno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelhrimov Sparta Brno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelhrimov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelhrimov found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Sparta Brno let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Pelhrimov has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelhrimov VS Sparta Brno
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelhrimov

(Home)
03 Oct
Bystrc
2 : 1
Pelhrimov
27 Sept
Pelhrimov
4 : 2
FC Kurim
19 Sept
Bedrichov
1 : 5
Pelhrimov
13 Sept
Pelhrimov
5 : 0
Velke Mezirici
05 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Pelhrimov
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Sparta Brno

(Away)
03 Oct
Sparta Brno
3 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
25 Sept
Bohunice
1 : 2
Sparta Brno
19 Sept
Sparta Brno
3 : 2
Tasovice
12 Sept
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velka Bites 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
2 Bohunice 9 5 2 2 21:9 17
3 FC Kurim 9 5 1 3 25:13 16
4 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
5 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
6 FS Trebic 9 5 1 3 11:15 16
7 Znojmo 9 4 3 2 17:10 15
8 Pelhrimov 9 4 2 3 21:13 14
9 Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
10 Bystrc 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
12 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9:17 9
13 Velke Mezirici 9 2 3 4 10:20 9
14 Zdar nad Sazavou 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
15 Zdirec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 14:21 8
16 Bedrichov 9 0 2 7 9:30 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)