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Pelicans SC vs Blue Star

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Pelicans SC and Blue Star finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blue Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pelicans SC
15%
Draws
42%
Blue Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelicans SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blue Star come out ahead of Pelicans SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Blue Star a 42% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pelicans SC Clean Sheet 10%
Blue Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelicans SC Blue Star
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2019 Super League
Pelicans SC vs Blue Star
0:4
Oct 22, 2017 Super League
Blue Star vs Pelicans SC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelicans SC 10 / 100
Blue Star 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelicans SC Blue Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blue Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Pelicans SC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Blue Star conceded in 76% of 37 recent games.

Pelicans SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelicans SC VS Blue Star
0 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelicans SC

(Home)
24 Jan
TSC Backa Topola
3 : 0
Pelicans SC
13 Feb
Pelicans SC
2 : 1
Red Star
09 Feb
Pelicans SC
0 : 4
Blue Star
03 Feb
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Pelicans SC
31 Jan
Pelicans SC
3 : 2
Solid
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Blue Star

(Away)
14 Sept
Ratnam SC
1 : 3
Blue Star
05 Sept
Defenders FC
1 : 2
Blue Star
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
18 Aug
New Young's SC
0 : 5
Blue Star
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Defenders FC 16 10 4 2 35:25 34
2 Colombo 16 9 5 2 40:20 32
3 Blue Star 16 10 2 4 23:16 32
4 Sea Hawks 16 9 3 4 30:19 30
5 Renown 16 8 3 5 29:20 27
6 Ratnam SC 16 8 3 5 23:19 27
7 UP Country Lions 16 8 0 8 30:22 24
8 Red Star 16 6 5 5 31:21 23
9 Matara City 16 6 5 5 25:24 23
10 Blue Eagles 16 6 5 5 18:20 23
11 Solid 16 5 3 8 36:34 18
12 New Young's SC 16 5 2 9 22:25 17
13 Java Lane 16 4 5 7 24:32 17
14 Pelicans SC 16 4 5 7 19:30 17
15 Saunders 16 4 2 10 22:35 14
16 Crystal Palace 16 3 4 9 14:31 13
17 Negombo Youth 16 1 4 11 18:46 7
18 Super Sun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)