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Pelikan vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gierach P.
31' Event
Tomal J.
51' Event
Pierzak P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Pelikan and LKS Lomza finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelikan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Pelikan
20%
Draws
7%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Pelikan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pelikan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 20%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan LKS Lomza
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.19 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs LKS Lomza
3:2
Mar 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Pelikan
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs LKS Lomza
0:1
May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs LKS Lomza
1:5
Oct 14, 2023 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Pelikan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gierach P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Czekala M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olszewski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 85 / 100
LKS Lomza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan LKS Lomza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Pelikan's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: LKS Lomza conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Pelikan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS LKS Lomza
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lomza

(Away)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)