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Stadium Background

Pelister vs Brera Strumica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. MFL matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pelister
15%
Draws
39%
Brera Strumica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pelister lately — more wins on the board than Brera Strumica.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Pelister Clean Sheet 14%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelister Brera Strumica
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.44 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. MFL
Pelister vs Brera Strumica
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Pelister
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 1. MFL
Pelister vs Brera Strumica
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Pelister
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 1. MFL
Pelister vs Brera Strumica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelister 31 / 100
Brera Strumica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelister Brera Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelister has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pelister scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Brera Strumica let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pelister VS Brera Strumica
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelister

(Home)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 6

Brera Strumica

(Away)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8
Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1
Kamjani
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
3 Brera Strumica 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
4 Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 6:2 12
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
8 Makedonija GP 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
9 Detonit Plackovica 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Gorno Lisice 6 1 1 4 5:6 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2:6 2
14 Shkupi 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)