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Pelotas vs GE Bage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Pedro Costa
75' Event
Jeder
86'
Fabinho

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Pelotas and GE Bage finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Pelotas
35%
Draws
46%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 21%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas GE Bage
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.34 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Bage
1:1
Jul 3, 2024 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Bage
1:1
Apr 25, 2024 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Pelotas
0:1
Jul 2, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Pelotas
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Bage
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeder
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Costa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 37 / 100
GE Bage 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Bage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pelotas scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

GE Bage has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Pelotas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS GE Bage
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)