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Pelotas vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Pedro Costa
75' Event
Jeder
86'
Fabinho

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Pelotas and GE Bage finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pelotas
30%
Draws
23%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pelotas a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas GE Bage
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.43 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Bage
1:1
Jul 3, 2024 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Bage
1:1
Apr 25, 2024 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Pelotas
0:1
Jul 2, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Pelotas
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Bage
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeder
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Costa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 59 / 100
GE Bage 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pelotas scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Pelotas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GE Bage has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS GE Bage
0.43 Goals Scored 0.88
0.43 Goals Conceded 1
29% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
09 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 1
GE Bage
05 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
23 Nov
Pelotas
0 : 2
Aimore
20 Nov
Aimore
1 : 2
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
09 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 1
GE Bage
05 Aug
GE Bage
2 : 0
Lajeadense
02 Aug
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
3 : 0
GE Bage
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Veranopolis 5 3 2 0 6:0 11
2 Passo Fundo 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 5 2 3 0 4:1 9
4 Santa Cruz RS 5 2 3 0 4:2 9
5 Apafut 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
6 Aimore 5 2 2 1 4:5 8
7 SC Gaucho 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
8 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 5 2 1 2 5:3 7
9 Pelotas 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
10 Brasil de Pelotas 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
11 Brasil de Farroupilha 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
12 EC Guarani 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 Gramadense 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 GE Bage 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
15 GE Gloria 5 0 2 3 2:5 2
16 Lajeadense 5 0 0 5 1:10 0
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)