Sport Picks

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Pembroke vs Mqabba FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pembroke in this Challenge League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pembroke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pembroke
6%
Draws
4%
Mqabba FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pembroke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mqabba FC haven't matched Pembroke's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pembroke a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pembroke here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pembroke Clean Sheet 18%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pembroke Mqabba FC
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Challenge League
Pembroke vs Mqabba FC
3:0
Nov 19, 2021 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Pembroke
2:3
Feb 6, 2021 Challenge League
Pembroke vs Mqabba FC
1:0
Oct 20, 2020 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Pembroke
0:2
Apr 25, 2020 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Pembroke
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pembroke 85 / 100
Mqabba FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pembroke Mqabba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pembroke found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Mqabba FC has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pembroke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pembroke VS Mqabba FC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210