Sport Picks

Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pembroke host Naxxar Lions in the Challenge League 2021/2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Pembroke at 0 goals for, 0 against; Naxxar Lions at 2.38 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Pembroke slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2022, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.74, favoring Pembroke. Pembroke in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Pembroke

Draws

Naxxar Lions

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pembroke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pembroke has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Naxxar Lions.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pembroke.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Challenge League 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Pembroke Clean Sheet 12%

Naxxar Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pembroke	Naxxar Lions
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	16	11
Draws	8	7
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	0	2.38
Goals Conceded	0	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Challenge League

Pembroke vs Naxxar Lions

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Dec 17, 2021 Challenge League

Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Jan 20, 2021 Challenge League

Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Mar 13, 2020 Challenge League

Pembroke vs Naxxar Lions

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Nov 3, 2019 Challenge League

Naxxar Lions vs Pembroke

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pembroke 83 / 100

Naxxar Lions 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pembroke Naxxar Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pembroke scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Naxxar Lions let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pembroke went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Naxxar Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naxxar Lions

0 Goals Scored 2.38

0 Goals Conceded 2.13

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pembroke	20	14	6	0	49:16	48
2	Marsaxlokk	20	13	2	5	40:22	41
3	Zejtun	20	12	4	4	44:24	40
4	Naxxar Lions	20	12	1	7	37:22	37
5	Melita	20	10	3	7	28:22	33
6	San Gwann	20	8	6	6	38:22	30
7	Lija	20	8	4	8	39:37	28
8	Mqabba FC	20	5	5	10	29:41	20
9	Vittoriosa	20	5	1	14	23:61	16
10	Rabat Ajax	20	3	4	13	20:42	13
11	St. George's FC	20	1	2	17	13:51	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zebbug	20	14	3	3	46:15	45
2	Pieta	20	12	4	4	39:19	40
3	Tarxien	20	10	8	2	45:24	38
4	Marsa	20	10	5	5	35:22	33
5	Fgura	20	9	4	7	35:27	31
6	St. Andrews	20	8	4	8	36:30	28
7	Qrendi	20	7	3	10	30:37	24
8	Swieqi	20	5	9	6	21:29	24
9	Senglea	20	4	3	13	24:50	15
10	Mgarr	20	3	5	12	11:36	14
11	Luqa	20	2	4	14	9:42	10