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Pena Balsamaiso vs Pradejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Pena Balsamaiso Logo

Pena Balsamaiso

0 - 2
FT
Pradejon Logo

Pradejon

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Blanco I.
90' Event
Rodrigo Lopez P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pradejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pradejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
15%
Draws
85%
Pradejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pradejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pradejon have won more games recently than Pena Balsamaiso.
  • Pradejon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso Pradejon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Pradejon
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:1
Feb 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Pradejon
1:2
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:3
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pradejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigo Lopez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
Pradejon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso Pradejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pradejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pradejon let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pradejon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pena Balsamaiso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS Pradejon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Pradejon

(Away)
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1
Pradejon
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1
Varea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)