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Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Charaf Moutai A.

AI Match Summary

River Ebro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
15%
Draws
85%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pena Balsamaiso haven't matched River Ebro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives River Ebro a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 15%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso River Ebro
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 0 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Pena Balsamaiso
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs River Ebro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Charaf Moutai A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
River Ebro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Ebro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Ebro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

River Ebro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pena Balsamaiso found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS River Ebro
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
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River Ebro

(Away)
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
12 Apr
River Ebro
0 : 2
Varea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)