Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
Vera Botta A. M.
55'
55'
Callejo L.
86'
86'
Frau S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Pena Deportiva and Manacor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manacor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pena Deportiva haven't matched Manacor's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Pena Deportiva here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 16%
Manacor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Deportiva | Manacor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 15 | 22 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Pena Deportiva
1:3
May 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Manacor
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Manacor
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Pena Deportiva
0:5
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Manacor
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera Botta A. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Manacor Compare
Top Goalscorer Frau S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Deportiva 19 / 100
Manacor 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Deportiva Manacor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manacor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pena Deportiva scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Manacor let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.
Pena Deportiva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pena Deportiva VS Manacor
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Deportiva
(Home) 20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Manacor
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 3
Manacor
(Away) 19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1 Migjorn
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1 Binissalem
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3 Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Manacor
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Manacor
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1 Manacor
03 May
Platges de Calvia
4 : 2 Manacor
18 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 1 Manacor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
