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Pena Deportiva vs Orihuela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pena Deportiva host Orihuela in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Pena Deportiva have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Orihuela's 1.27 scored and 1.8 conceded. Past meetings favor Orihuela slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2021, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.63, favoring Pena Deportiva. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pena Deportiva
20%
Draws
64%
Orihuela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orihuela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Orihuela.
  • 16% — that's where the model lands on Pena Deportiva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Orihuela have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva Orihuela
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Pena Deportiva vs Orihuela
1:1
Nov 29, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Orihuela vs Pena Deportiva
1:0
Mar 15, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Pena Deportiva vs Orihuela
0:1
Oct 26, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Orihuela vs Pena Deportiva
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 68 / 100
Orihuela 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva Orihuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orihuela has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pena Deportiva scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Orihuela has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS Orihuela
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
04 Oct
Valencia B
3 : 2
Pena Deportiva
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
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Orihuela

(Away)
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4
Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)